Western Canada Is Trump Country
Maybe More Of Canada Too, But They're Trapped In A Bad System
Canada’s April 28 Federal Election results. Blue = Conservative; Red = Liberal; Orange = New Democratic Party; Light Blue = Block Quebecois. H/T John Carter’s Postcards From Barsoom
When I lived in Toronto, I had the 1974 version of this map on the wall in front of my typewriter. (We had typewriters back then. Like mechanized quill pens).
It showed—actually even more dramatically—that Western Canada was profoundly alienated from a Liberal government elected from the population centers of Central Canada (Ontario and Quebec).
But that’s where the Canadian national media—including me at that point, I wrote for the Financial Post and Maclean’s Magazine——happened to be based. (Cf. the U.S. Eastern Seaboard). So that’s why you didn’t hear about it.
In other words, Canada’s political stability was clearly artificial, imposed by five-year Parliaments, one-man one vote districts, and the complete absence of section-balancing institutions like the U.S. Electoral College and the U.S. Senate.
Brooding about this, I eventually wrote a book which my Toronto publishers insisted on calling The Patriot Game (1986). This was because they focused on its shocking (to them) criticism of the then-dominant anti-American “Canadian Nationalism” racket that blatantly aimed at collecting economic rents in the hands of the Central Canadian elite, while at the same time paradoxically countenancing mass non-traditional immigration.
My book achieved a certain success and is even cited in Wikipedia as “shaping the thought process of Canadian Prime Minister [2006-2015] Stephen Harper” —although clearly not enough!
It’s now out of print and, readers will be surprised to learn, I have not been asked to update it.
But my more fundamental points:
1] English-speaking Canada is actually part of Anglophone North America.
This has been brilliantly illustrated by this map generated by Matt Forney
Asked Grok to experiment with how the 2024 presidential election would have gone if Canada was part of the U.S., as a refutation of retards who are "bUt cAnAda iS jUsT a gIaNt cAlIfOrNiA"
(Trump wins 309-259 Electoral College votes).
H/T https://x.com/realmattforney/status/1918111240242573381
(I think this understates English-speaking Canada’s North American nature: for example, my late first wife’s home province of Newfoundland would reorientate, absent Ottawa bribery, to its historic pro-U.S. stance. There was a serious move for economic union with the U.S. before this previously-independent Dominion was shanghaied into Canadian Confederation in 1948).
2] French-speaking Quebec is a separate nation.
This is more obvious now than it was on my 1974 map because of the eruption of the pro-independence Bloc Quebecois (Light Blue). The idea of separatist party in the Federal Parliament was universally dismissed as an illogical impossibility when I wrote my 1986 book, although I predicted it because I knew the history of Irish Nationalism within the U.K. Parliamentary system.
And of course it happened.
In fact, the Bloc Quebecois presence is now relatively diminished after the 2025 election, probably because the French-speaking Quebecois have voted, as they often do, to maximize their Canada-wide power through the federal Liberal Party. They know they already control their province of Quebec
But at some point separatists elected from Quebec will hold the balance of power in Canada’s Federal Parliament. Then they will be able to force separation.
Thus every Canadian election is a game of Russian Roulette. It hasn’t happened yet. But it will.
3] Americans and Canadians are over-interpreting Canada’s October 28 federal election.
The election was actually pretty close (Liberals 43.7%. Conservatives 41.3%) and seems to have resulted in a minority government—i.e. the Liberals do not control the majority in the House of Commons. To be fair to Canadians—especially English-speaking Canadians—no apocalyptical conclusions can be drawn about this result. (As opposed to conclusions about their political system).
Canadian minority governments usually don’t last long. This last one was sustained in power apparently because the social democrat New Democratic Party leader Harmeet Singh wanted to secure his own parliamentary pension. The price to his party was high: he was defeated in his own riding (=district) and the NDP was reduced from 24 to 7 seats. The New Democrats will be hesitant about supporting the Liberals again.
4] Prime Minister Mark Carney is ludicrously vulnerable.
Carney has spent most of his adult life outside Canada—in the process applying for and acquiring Irish and British citizenships, an act of putative disloyalty which the Conservatives were mysteriously unable to capitalize upon in this supposedly Canadian nationalist election.
Canadian political parties often switch leaders to avoid last-minute disaster, something rarely seen in the U.S. before the Kamala Harris Koronation.
But Carney’s parachuting into the 2025 election does mean that he has absolutely no experience in the House of Commons. This may not be as decisive as it would be in the ruthless hot-house British Parliamentary system. But it can’t help.
And, of course, it is sociological evidence of English Canada’s fundamentally North American nature.
Additionally, Carney’s post-2020 Central Bank interlude in the weird world of Wall Street raises all kinds of nasty potential of conflict-of-interest questions.
5] Western Canada is on the move.
At VDARE.com, we were following this for years e.g.
Post-election, the Premier of Alberta has moved to make a referendum on separation easier:
Hmmm!
6] What about immigration?
Canada’s immigration policy has been even more disastrous than that of the U.S. https://x.com/arctotherium42/status/1916217187708096951
And it has created new facts, witness the Liberal votes in minority-dominated cities even in the West, above all in Vancouver.
But immigration simply did not figure into the contest between the major parties. Indeed, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre was so race-whipped that he even forced three of his back benchers to apologize for lunching with Germany’s immigration-critical Christine Anderson--although she was (and is) an AfD Member of the European Parliament!!
Immigration did figure in Maxime Bernier’s heroic splinter People Party’s campaign. He called for an immigration moratorium. But totally shut out of Canada’s (government-subsidized) Main Steam Media, he got just 0.7% of the national vote and, without any regional base, won no seats.
I applaud this heroic effort. All I can say is that. in my 1986 book, I predicted the rise of both Quebec-separatist and Western-particularist federal parties. And they achieved similarly minimalist results before suddenly triumphing.
Albeit in the latter case, alas, to be taken over and then corrupted by, their Establishment rival.
We go on.
Demographically, if we brought Alberta and British Columbia into the US, the Dems would not win a national election for decades. The move would trigger a mass migration similar to what happened after the Civil War; the Great Migration of Blacks to the north for jobs between 1910 and 1970; the Dust Bowl migration to California; and the post WWII mass migration to the South.
Ottawa would soon be filled with liberals from the left coast.
Don't discount this, because:
If air conditioning can flip several states' demographics, and thus, elections, bringing Albertans and British Columbians into the fold might be a wise move. It's only nine million people, but it would give conservatives four more seats in the house and the senate, so long as we kept them two separate states.
It appears Alberta is already setting the legislative stage for secession.
Greater PNW Empire