PROJECTED REPUBLICAN VOTE (%) IN ELECTION YEARS
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Year
Rep %
% of the Voting Age Population
White
Black
Latino
Asian
1988A
53
78.8
10.7
7.4
3.15
Estimates
2000
50.7
74.4
11.3
10.0
4.3
2004
50.3
73.0
11.4
10.8
4.8
2008
49.9
71.6
11.6
11.7
5.1
2012
49.5
70.2
11.7
12.6
5.5
2016
49.1
68.8
11.8
13.5
5.9
2020
48.7
67.3
12.0
14.4
6.3
2024
48.3
65.8
12.1
15.6
6.5
2028
47.8
64.3
12.2
16.6
6.9
2032
47.4
62.8
12.3
17.6
7.3
2036
47.0
61.3
12.4
18.6
7.7
2040
46.5
59.8
12.5
19.7
8.0
2044
46.0
57.8
12.6
20.7
8.9
2048
45.7
56.9
12.7
21.2
9.2
2052
45.3
54.9
12.9
21.6
10.6
Note: Republican share held at 1988 level for each group i.e.: White 59%; Black 12%; Latino 23%; Asian 47%; Assumed voter Participation rate: White 64%; Black 54%; Latino 54%; Asian 54% Source: Based on Census Bureau Population projections